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💡 Extending Nuclear’s Lifespan: An Investment Opportunity for the Energy Transition

Writer: Emin AskerovEmin Askerov

What’s the most cost-effective way to decarbonize the grid? Surprisingly, it’s long-term operation (LTO) of existing nuclear power plants. With a levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of around $30/MWh and capital expenses between $500 and $1,100/kW, extending the life of existing reactors is a top-tier solution for clean, reliable power. 🚀


𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗘𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗰 𝗖𝗮𝘀𝗲 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗟𝗧𝗢

Aging reactors, some over 40 years old, face growing regulatory and maintenance demands, particularly post-Fukushima. But with 140 reactors worldwide eligible for LTO by 2040, the potential market for equipment, materials, and services is estimated at $3–4 billion per year. In total, these LTO projects could require around $50–100 billion, opening the door for suppliers and service providers to secure a slice of the market.


𝗪𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗔𝗿𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗜𝗻𝘃𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗢𝗽𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁𝘂𝗻𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗲𝘀?

With this surge in demand, established suppliers may struggle to keep up, creating a significant gap for new entrants who can:

- 🛠️ Develop replaceable components, particularly those out of production, potentially through additive manufacturing.

- 🤖 Deploy cost-saving automation and digitalization in inspections, from robotics and drones to VR, AR, and AI-based solutions.


𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗕𝗼𝘁𝘁𝗼𝗺 𝗟𝗶𝗻𝗲: 𝗦𝗲𝗶𝘇𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗟𝗧𝗢 𝗢𝗽𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁𝘂𝗻𝗶𝘁𝘆 🌍


As the global demand for clean energy accelerates, the long-term operation of existing nuclear plants offers a timely and under-the-radar investment opportunity. For suppliers, innovators, and service providers, LTO is more than an extension—it’s a pathway to growth in the nuclear sector, leveraging automation, digital transformation, and advanced manufacturing. For those ready to tackle this niche, the market is ripe with potential, and early movers stand to benefit immensely. 🌱


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© Emin Askerov, 2023.

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